Risk & Readiness Analysis
Predictive risk assessment and scenario modeling for transformation success.
Success Probability
5%
Without intervention
Critical Risks
3
of 5 total risks
Avg Risk Impact
84%
Across all categories
Timeline at Risk
18 mo
2% current readiness
Transformation Success Probability
Without any intervention or investment
Based on current workforce readiness of 2%, 12 critical gaps, and 99% of the team below threshold. This probability improves dramatically with targeted investment.
Risk Probability vs Impact Matrix
5 identified risks plotted by likelihood and business impact
Scenario Comparison: Projected Readiness Over Time
Three investment scenarios compared over 18-month timeline
Risk Register & Mitigation Plan
5 identified risks with recommended mitigation strategies
Insufficient Cloud-Native Skills
EmergencyOnly 0% of the workforce meets minimum readiness thresholds. 12 critical skill gaps identified across 32 target competencies.
Mitigation: Immediate intensive training program + strategic hiring of 8-12 cloud-native specialists
Cultural Resistance to Change
EmergencyMultiple senior team members show active resistance to cloud migration. Waterfall-dominant PMO culture conflicts with DevOps transformation.
Mitigation: Executive sponsorship program, change management workshops, early adopter champion network
Key Person Dependencies
EmergencyElena Grigore (DEV-001) is the only person with production Kubernetes experience. Single point of failure for the entire cloud platform.
Mitigation: Immediate knowledge transfer program, hire 2 senior K8s engineers, document all processes
Timeline Overrun
Critical18-month timeline is aggressive given current 2% readiness. Training alone requires 12 months minimum for critical mass.
Mitigation: Phased delivery approach, prioritize quick wins, extend to 24 months if needed
Security Compliance Gap
CriticalSecurity team has zero cloud security expertise. Telecom regulations require continuous compliance.
Mitigation: Dedicated cloud security training track, hire DevSecOps specialist, automated compliance tooling